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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see ] -->
{{short description|2020 Arizona Democratic primary}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=April 2021}}
{{for|primaries in other races|2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona|2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona}}
{{Infobox election {{Infobox election
| election_name = 2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary | election_name = 2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary
Line 6: Line 6:
| type = presidential | type = presidential
| ongoing = no | ongoing = no
| party_name = no
| previous_election = 2016 Arizona Democratic primary
| previous_election = 2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary
| previous_year = 2016 | previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2024 Arizona Democratic primary | next_election = 2024 Arizona Democratic presidential primary
| next_year = 2024 | next_year = 2024
| election_date = March 17, 2020 | election_date = March 17, 2020
| outgoing_members = ] | outgoing_members = ]
| elected_members = ] | elected_members = ]
| votes_for_election = 78 ] delegates (67 pledged, 11 unpledged)<br>The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | votes_for_election = 80 delegates (67 pledged, 13 unpledged)<br />to the ]<br />The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
| candidates = | candidates =
| image1 = ] | image1 = File:Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
| image_size = x150px
| candidate1 = ''']''' | candidate1 = ''']'''
| color1 = 224192 | color1 = 224192
| home_state1 = ] | home_state1 = ]
| delegate_count1 = '''39''' | delegate_count1 = '''38'''
| popular_vote1 = '''268,029''' | popular_vote1 = '''268,029'''
| percentage1 = '''44.05%''' | percentage1 = '''43.70%'''
| image2 = ] | image2 = File:Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
| candidate2 = ] | candidate2 = ]
| color2 = 228b22 | color2 = 228b22
| home_state2 = ] | home_state2 = ]
| delegate_count2 = 28 | delegate_count2 = 29
| popular_vote2 = 200,456 | popular_vote2 = 200,456
| percentage2 = 32.95% | percentage2 = 32.70%
| image4 = File:Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
| party_name = no
| candidate4 = ]<br />(withdrawn){{efn|Bloomberg publicly withdrew on March 4, 2020, thirteen days before the primary, and later also officially withdrew in the state, but absentee and early voting had already occurred and he was not taken off the ballot.}}
| map_image = File:Arizona Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
| map_size = 200 px | color4 = 9370db
| home_state4 = ]
| map_caption = Election results by county<br>{{legend|#224192|Joe Biden}}{{legend|#228b22|Bernie Sanders}}
| delegate_count4 = 0
| popular_vote4 = 58,797
| percentage4 = 9.59%
<!--DO NOT REMOVE, see ]-->
| image5 = File:Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
| candidate5 = ]<br />(withdrawn){{efn|Warren withdrew on March 5, 2020, twelve days before the primary. Absentee and early voting had already occurred.}}
| color5 = b61b28
| home_state5 = ]
| delegate_count5 = 0
| popular_vote5 = 35,537
| percentage5 = 5.79%
| map_image = File:Arizona Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = Election results by county
{{(!}} style="text-align:left; margin:auto; width:280px;"
{{!}}
{{legend|#224192|Joe Biden}}
{{!}}
{{legend|#228b22|Bernie Sanders}}
{{!)}}
}} }}
{{ElectionsAZ}} {{ElectionsAZ}}
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;float:right;padding:5px;"
! colspan="2"| Pledged ] delegates
|-
! Type
! {{abbr|Del.|Delegates}}
|-
| ]
| 5
|-
| ]
| 6
|-
| ]
| 5
|-
| ]
| 3
|-
| ]
| 5
|-
| ]
| 5
|-
| ]
| 4
|-
| ]
| 5
|-
| ]
| 6
|-
| {{abbr|PLEO|Party leaders and elected officials}}
| 9
|-
| At-large
| 14
|-
! Total pledged delegates
! 67
|}
The '''2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary''' took place on March 17, 2020, the third primary Tuesday of the month, as one of three contests on the same day in the ] for the ], while the contest in ] had been postponed for roughly a month. The ] allocated 80 ] towards the ], of which 67 were pledged delegates allocated according to the results of the primary.


Three major candidates ran in the primary, including former vice president ], senator ] from ], and representative ] from ]. 12 other candidates who withdrew prior to the contest were also on the ballot, along with three minor candidates. Biden won the primary, with almost 44% of the vote and 38 delegates, while Sanders came in second place with almost 33% of the vote and 29 delegates. In a distant third was former mayor ], who came close to 10%, even though he had suspended his campaign nearly two weeks before and had issued an official withdrawal with the state, still remaining on the ballot.
The '''2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary''',<ref>{{cite news|url=https://ktar.com/story/2984007/early-voting-about-to-start-in-arizona-democratic-primary/|title=Early voting starts in Arizona Democratic presidential primary|work=KTAR|date=February 18, 2020}}</ref> took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020, one of three states voting on the same day in the ] for the ]. The Arizona Presidential Preference Election is a closed election, with the state awarding 78 delegates, of which 67 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.


Biden won 13 of 15 counties, with the exception of ] and ], and 7 of 9 congressional districts.<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|date=March 30, 2020|title=State of Arizona Official Canvass 2020 Presidential Preference Election – Mar 17, 2020|url=https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/PPE%20Canvass%20Signed%203.30.2020.pdf|url-status=live|access-date=March 31, 2021|publisher=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201019044804/https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/PPE%20Canvass%20Signed%203.30.2020.pdf |archive-date=October 19, 2020 }}</ref> Key to his victory were white voters, whom he won 51-32 per ] exit polls, and suburban voters, who he won 53–32.<ref name=":1">{{Cite web|title=Arizona Primary Polls|url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/entrance-and-exit-polls|url-status=live|access-date=2021-04-01|website=|publisher=]|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200228060615/https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/entrance-and-exit-polls |archive-date=February 28, 2020 }}</ref> In a stark contrast from ], Sanders' strength was reliant primarily on non-white and Hispanic voters, whom Biden won by only 47-45 and 45–44, respectively. Biden would ultimately win the state of ] in the ] by 10,457 votes, making him the first Democrat to win it since ] in ] and only the second since ] did so in ].
The ] declared ] the winner of the Arizona primary.<ref>{{cite news|title=Arizona Election Results: Live Presidential Primary 2020|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/17/us/elections/results-arizona-president-democrat-primary-election.html|publisher=New York Times|accessdate=March 17, 2020}}</ref>


==Procedure== == Procedure ==
] ]
] was one of three states holding primaries on March 17, 2020, alongside ] and ], while only one day before ] had been the first state to postpone its primary due to the ] and cancel in-person voting, accepting ballots until April 28 instead.
Arizona is one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, the others being Florida and Illinois.<ref name="FHQ-primarydates">{{cite web|last1=Putnam|first1=Josh|title=The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar|url=https://frontloading.blogspot.com/p/2020-presidential-primary-calendar.html|publisher=Frontloading HQ|accessdate=June 23, 2019}}</ref>

Voters had to have registered as Democrats by February 18 to be eligible for voting in the primary. Arizona mailed ballots to voters on the permanent early voting list. Ballots had to be received by 7:00&nbsp;p.m. on March 17, 2020. In addition, some Arizona counties offered early voting sites, where any voter could walk in and vote in person, Monday to Friday, from February 19 through March 13, 2020.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Early Voting Sites|url=https://www.recorder.pima.gov/EarlyVotingSites|url-status=live|access-date=2021-02-21|website=|publisher=] Recorder|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181005012859/https://www.recorder.pima.gov/EarlyVotingSites |archive-date=October 5, 2018 }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Democratic Presidential Preference Election – Vote Centers|url=https://recorder.maricopa.gov/pdf/PPE2020EVSites.pdf|url-status=live|publisher=] Recorder|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200220225857/https://recorder.maricopa.gov/pdf/PPE2020EVSites.pdf |archive-date=February 20, 2020 }}</ref> Voting took place from 6:00&nbsp;a.m. until 7:00&nbsp;p.m ]. In the closed primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable for delegates. The 67 pledged delegates to the ] were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 3 and 6 were allocated to each of the ] and another 9 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 14 at-large delegates.<ref name="GP">{{cite web|date=|title=Arizona Democratic Delegation 2020|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/AZ-D|url-status=live|access-date=June 23, 2019|publisher=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170714112600/http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/AZ-D |archive-date=July 14, 2017 }}</ref> As a March primary on Stage I of the primary timetable Arizona received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.<ref>{{cite web|title=Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/D-Timing.phtml|publisher=The Green Papers|date=November 24, 2021|access-date=March 19, 2022}}</ref>


District caucuses were held on April 18, 2020, to designate national convention district delegates. The state convention and state committee meeting were subsequently held on May 16, 2020, to vote on the 14 at-large and 9 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 13 unpledged PLEO delegates: 7 members of the ] and 6 members of Congress (one senator and 5 representatives).<ref name="GP" />
Arizona mails ballots to voters on the Permanent Early Voting List. Ballots must have been received by 7:00&nbsp;p.m. on March 17, 2020. In addition, some Arizona counties offered Early Voting Sites<ref>https://www.recorder.pima.gov/EarlyVotingSites</ref> or Early Voting Centers <ref>https://recorder.maricopa.gov/pdf/PPE2020EVSites.pdf</ref>, where any voter may walk in and vote in person, Monday - Friday, February 19 through March 13, 2020.


==Candidates==
Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00&nbsp;a.m. until 7:00&nbsp;p.m. In the closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 67 pledged delegates to the ] will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 67 pledged delegates, between three and six are allocated to each of the ] and another nine are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 14 at-large pledged delegates. These delegate totals do not account for pledged delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering.<ref name="GP">{{cite web|title=Arizona Democratic Delegation 2020|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/AZ-D|publisher=The Green Papers|date=May 5, 2019|accessdate=June 23, 2019}}</ref>
The following candidates appeared on the ballot in Arizona. Candidates that had filed a formal withdrawal with the office remained on the ballot because it had already been printed but their votes were not individually published in the final canvass, making them effectively ineligible.<ref name="candidates"/>


'''Running'''
Following the primary, district caucuses will be held on Saturday, April 18, 2020, to designate national convention district delegates, and the state convention and state committee meeting will subsequently be held in ] on Saturday, May 16, 2020 to vote on the 14 pledged at-large and nine PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 67 pledged delegates Arizona sends to the national convention will be joined by 11 unpledged PLEO delegates (five members of the ] and six members of Congress, including one Senator and five U.S. Representatives).<ref name="GP"/>
{{div col|colwidth=20em}}
*]
*]
*Michael Ellinger
*]
*]
*]
{{div col end}}
'''Withdrawn'''
{{div col|colwidth=20em}}
*]{{efn|name=WithdrewBeforeST-az}}
*]
*]
*]{{efn|name=WithdrewAfterST-az}}
*]
*]
{{div col end}}
'''Formal withdrawal (ineligible)'''
{{div col|colwidth=20em}}
*]
*]
*]
*]
*]
*]
{{div col end}}


==Polling== ==Polling==
Line 58: Line 152:
! Date updated ! Date updated
! Dates polled ! Dates polled
! ] ! ]
! ] ! ]
! ] ! ]
! Other/<br>Undecided{{efn|name=undecided|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined}} ! Other/<br />Undecided{{efn|name=undecided|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined}}
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 17, 2020
| Mar 3–16, 2020 | Mar 3–16, 2020
Line 71: Line 165:
| 19.0% | 19.0%
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 17, 2020
| Mar 6–15, 2020 | Mar 6–15, 2020
Line 79: Line 173:
| 13.6% | 13.6%
|- |-
| |]<ref></ref>
| Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 17, 2020
| until Mar 16, 2020{{Efn|name=trendline|FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.}} | until Mar 16, 2020{{Efn|name=trendline|FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.}}
Line 98: Line 192:
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"
! Poll source ! Poll source
! Date(s)<br>administered ! Date(s)<br />administered
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear}} ! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key|{{Polling Table Key}}}}
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} ! Margin<br />{{nowrap|of error}}
! Joe<br>Biden ! Joe<br />Biden
! Michael<br>Bloomberg ! Michael<br />Bloomberg
! Pete<br>Buttigieg ! Pete<br />Buttigieg
! Kamala<br>Harris ! Kamala<br />Harris
! Bernie<br>Sanders ! Bernie<br />Sanders
! Elizabeth<br>Warren ! Elizabeth<br />Warren
! Andrew<br>Yang ! Andrew<br />Yang
! Other ! Other
! Undecided ! Undecided
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref> {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200317192727/https://swayable.com/insights/democratic-primaries-2020-march-17-states |date=March 17, 2020 }}</ref>
| Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 16, 2020
| 1,167 (LV) | 1,167 (LV)
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| – | –
|- |-
| rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | | rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |]/]<ref></ref>
| rowspan=2 |Mar 10–15, 2020 | rowspan=2 |Mar 10–15, 2020
| 523 (LV) | 523 (LV)
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| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| Mar 11–14, 2020 | Mar 11–14, 2020
| 373 (LV) | 373 (LV)
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| 5% | 5%
|- |-
| rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | | rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |]/]/]<ref></ref>
| rowspan=2 |Mar 6–11, 2020 | rowspan=2 |Mar 6–11, 2020
| rowspan=2 |541 (LV) | rowspan=2 |541 (LV)
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| colspan="11" |Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | colspan="11" |Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/2020-arziona-democratic-primary/ |title=OH Predictive Insights |access-date=March 9, 2020 |archive-date=March 12, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200312180126/https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/2020-arziona-democratic-primary/ |url-status=dead }}</ref>
| Mar 3–4, 2020 | Mar 3–4, 2020
| 398 (LV) | 398 (LV)
| ±&nbsp;4.91% | ±&nbsp;4.9%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | '''45%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} | '''45%'''
| 12% | 12%
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| colspan="11" | Harris withdraws from the race | colspan="11" | Harris withdraws from the race
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019 | Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019
| 260 (LV) | 260 (LV)
| ±&nbsp;6.08% | ±&nbsp;6.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | '''29%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} | '''29%'''
| – | –
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| – | –
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| Oct 25–28, 2019 | Oct 25–28, 2019
| 339 | 339
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| – | –
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]/]<ref></ref>
| Oct 13–26, 2019 | Oct 13–26, 2019
| 209 | 209
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| 31% | 31%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| Sep 27–28, 2019 | Sep 27–28, 2019
| 396 (LV) | 396 (LV)
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| – | –
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| Sep 9–12, 2019 | Sep 9–12, 2019
| 250 | 250
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| 10% | 10%
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" | | style="text-align:left;" |]<ref></ref>
| May 23–29, 2019 | May 23–29, 2019
| 197 | 197
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==Results== ==Results==
<section begin="AZresults" />
[[File:2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary election results map by county (vote share).svg|thumb|280px|Popular vote share by county
{{legend|#5377d7|Biden—40–50%}}
{{legend|#2d56c2|Biden—50–60%}}
{{legend|#7edf7e|Sanders—30–40%}}
{{legend|#4fd44f|Sanders—40–50%}}]]
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;" {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" | 2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary<ref name="AZ-SOS-results">{{cite web |title=Arizona Election Results |url=https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/28/0 |website=results.arizona.vote |publisher=Arizona Secretary of State |accessdate=March 20, 2020}}</ref> |+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" | 2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary<ref name="AZ-SOS-results">{{cite web|url=https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/PPE%20Canvass%20Signed%203.30.2020.pdf|title=State of Arizona Official Canvass: 2020 Presidential Preference Election – Mar 17, 2020|publisher=Arizona Secretary of State|date=30 March 2020|access-date=14 October 2020}}</ref>
! style="text-align:left;" | Candidate ! Candidate
! Votes ! Votes
! % ! %
! Delegates<ref name="AZ-AP-delegates">{{cite web |title=Delegate Tracker |url=https://interactives.ap.org/delegate-tracker/ |website=interactives.ap.org |publisher=Associated Press |accessdate=March 20, 2020}}</ref> ! Delegates<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/AZ-D|title=2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Arizona Democrat|website=The Green Papers|access-date=4 July 2020}}</ref>
|- |-
|-{{party shading/Democratic}} |-{{party shading/Democratic}}
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Biden, Joe" | ''']''' | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Biden, Joe" | ''']'''
|'''268,029''' |'''268,029'''
| '''44.05''' | '''43.70'''
|'''39''' |'''38'''
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Sanders, Bernie" | ] | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Sanders, Bernie" | ]
| 200,456 | 200,456
| 32.95 | 32.70
| 28 | 29
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Warren, Elizabeth" | ] <small>(withdrawn†)</small> | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Warren, Elizabeth" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small>{{efn|name=WithdrewAfterST-az|Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday during early voting.}}
| 35,537 | 35,537
| 5.84 | 5.79
| rowspan=11 {{N/A|}}
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Buttigieg, Pete" |] <small>(withdrawn†)</small> | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Buttigieg, Pete" |] <small>(withdrawn)</small>{{efn|name=WithdrewBeforeST-az|Candidate withdrew before Super Tuesday during early voting.}}
| 24,868 | 24,868
| 4.09 | 4.05
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Gabbard, Tulsi" | ] | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Gabbard, Tulsi" | ]
| 3,014 | 3,014
| 0.50 | 0.49
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Yang, Andrew" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small> | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Yang, Andrew" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small>
| 1,921 | 1,921
| 0.32 | 0.31
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Castro, Julian" |] <small>(withdrawn)</small> | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Castro, Julian" |] <small>(withdrawn)</small>
| 754 | 754
| 0.12 | 0.12
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Williamson, Marianne" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small> | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Williamson, Marianne" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small>
| 668 | 668
| 0.10 | 0.11
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="De La Fuente III, Roque" | Roque De La Fuente III | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Patrick, Deval" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small>
| 628
| 0.10
| 0
|-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Patrick, Deval" | ] <small>(withdrawn)</small>
| 242 | 242
| 0.04 | 0.04
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Hewes, Henry" | ] | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="Hewes, Henry" | ]
| 208 | 208
| 0.03 | 0.03
| 0
|- |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Ellinger, Michael A." | Michael A. Ellinger | style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZA" | ''Other candidates''
| 184 | 812
| 0.03 | 0.13
| 0 |-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZB" | ''Other votes''
| 4,942
| 0.81
|-
| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-value="ZZC" | ''Ineligible candidates''{{efn|While Bloomberg, Klobuchar, Steyer, Delaney, Booker and Bennet had formally withdrawn and were not published in the final state canvass, those ballots were included by the state as part of overall cast ballots and any media covering the primary reported individual vote tallies for those candidates.<ref name="candidates">{{cite web |url=https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/elections/2020-presidential-preference-election/federal/2476/28/0 |title=2020 Presidential Preference Election – President of the United States (DEM) |website=Arizona Secretary of State |access-date=April 3, 2022}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-primary-elections/arizona-results?icid=election_results#jump-link__presidential-Dem|title=2020 primary Elections Arizona results|website=]|date=May 1, 2020|access-date=October 30, 2022}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ELECTION-RESULTS-LIVE-MARCH-17/0100B5KF42P/?state=AZ|title=Live primary and caucus results – March 17th contests|website=] Graphic|date=April 23, 2020|access-date=October 30, 2022}}</ref>}}<br />
<small>{{0}}]<br />{{0}}]<br />{{0}}]<br />{{0}}]<br />{{0}}]<br />{{0}}]</small>
| 71,904
<small>58,797<br />10,333<br />1,381<br />505<br />494<br />394</small>
| 11.72
<small>9.59<br />1.68<br />0.23<br />0.08<br />0.08<br />0.06</small>
|- |-
! Total ! Total
! 613,355
! 536,509{{efn|Total of candidates officially reported, of 613,355 ballots cast.}}
! 100%
! 87.92%{{efn|Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates who formally withdrew (Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer<ref name="AZ-candidates">{{cite web |title=Running for Federal Office, Arizona Secretary of State |url=https://azsos.gov/node/359 |website=azsos.gov |publisher=Arizona Secretary of State |accessdate=March 20, 2020}}</ref>) do not have their vote totals officially reported.<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />}}
! 67 ! 67
|} |}

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.
=== By county ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |County<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn†)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn†)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |Michael A. Ellinger
! colspan="2" |Others{{efn|Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates who formally withdrew (Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer<ref name="AZ-candidates">{{cite web |title=Running for Federal Office, Arizona Secretary of State |url=https://azsos.gov/node/359 |website=azsos.gov |publisher=Arizona Secretary of State |access-date=March 20, 2020}}</ref>) do not have their vote totals officially reported.<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />}}{{efn|Calculated by subtracting the totals of all reported candidates from the total votes reported.|name="unknown"}}
! colspan="2" |Margin
! rowspan="2" |Total votes cast
! rowspan="2" |Eligible voters
! rowspan="2" |Voter turnout
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,092'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44.0%'''
|2,523
|35.9%
|252
|3.6%
|143
|2.0%
|48
|0.7%
|36
|0.5%
|20
|0.3%
|25
|0.4%
|26
|0.4%
|22
|0.3%
|13
|0.2%
|10
|0.1%
|818
|11.6%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |569
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8.1%
|7,028
|28,734
|24.5%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''4,123'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''41.7%'''
|2,694
|27.3%
|678
|6.9%
|466
|4.7%
|93
|0.9%
|34
|0.3%
|22
|0.2%
|20
|0.2%
|26
|0.3%
|10
|0.1%
|8
|0.1%
|4
|0.0%
|1,710
|17.3%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,429
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |14.4%
|9,888
|20,356
|48.6%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
|6,578
|37.4%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''7,650'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''43.5%'''
|1,255
|7.1%
|527
|3.0%
|94
|0.5%
|64
|0.4%
|16
|0.1%
|23
|0.1%
|17
|0.1%
|13
|0.1%
|9
|0.1%
|5
|0.0%
|1,354
|7.7%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |–1,072
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |–6.1%
|17,605
|35,901
|49.0%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''2,041'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.8%'''
|928
|21.7%
|192
|4.5%
|181
|4.2%
|37
|0.9%
|25
|0.6%
|10
|0.2%
|24
|0.6%
|8
|0.2%
|3
|0.0%
|11
|0.3%
|2
|0.1%
|807
|18.9%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,113
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.1%
|4,269
|8,845
|48.3%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''774'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''46.2%'''
|420
|25.0%
|70
|4.2%
|44
|2.6%
|17
|1.0%
|14
|0.8%
|8
|0.5%
|5
|0.3%
|10
|0.6%
|0
|0.0%
|2
|0.1%
|0
|0.0%
|313
|18.7%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |354
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.1%
|1,677
|5,082
|33.0%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''316'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''45.0%'''
|138
|19.6%
|25
|3.6%
|30
|4.3%
|14
|2.0%
|6
|0.9%
|4
|0.6%
|1
|0.1%
|4
|0.6%
|0
|0.0%
|3
|0.4%
|1
|0.1%
|161
|22.9%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |178
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.3%
|703
|1,756
|40.0%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''323'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44.8%'''
|193
|26.8%
|29
|4.0%
|21
|2.9%
|6
|0.8%
|6
|0.8%
|5
|0.7%
|3
|0.4%
|2
|0.3%
|1
|0.1%
|1
|0.1%
|2
|0.3%
|129
|17.9%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |130
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.0%
|721
|2,282
|31.6%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''153,707'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''42.9%'''
|120,379
|33.6%
|20,584
|5.7%
|15,346
|4.3%
|1,620
|0.4%
|1,109
|0.3%
|345
|0.1%
|307
|0.1%
|297
|0.1%
|121
|0.0%
|99
|0.0%
|92
|0.0%
|44,384
|12.4%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33,328
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9.3%
|358,390
|732,376
|48.9%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''4,450'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.4%'''
|2,142
|22.8%
|432
|4.6%
|493
|5.3%
|64
|0.7%
|38
|0.4%
|7
|0.1%
|18
|0.2%
|16
|0.2%
|7
|0.1%
|7
|0.1%
|5
|0.4%
|1,701
|18.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,308
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.6%
|9,380
|20,872
|44.9%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,585'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44.3%'''
|2,617
|32.8%
|316
|3.9%
|193
|2.4%
|54
|0.7%
|59
|0.7%
|14
|0.2%
|25
|0.3%
|18
|0.2%
|11
|0.1%
|14
|0.2%
|10
|0.1%
|1,169
|14.5%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |968
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12.0%
|8,085
|25,215
|32.1%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''60,622'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''45.3%'''
|42,954
|32.1%
|8,602
|6.4%
|4,907
|3.7%
|613
|0.5%
|306
|0.2%
|149
|0.1%
|105
|0.1%
|88
|0.1%
|32
|0.0%
|20
|0.0%
|33
|0.0%
|15,378
|11.5%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |17,668
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.2%
|133,809
|237,568
|56.3%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''12,450'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''48.4%'''
|6,658
|25.9%
|1,165
|4.5%
|1,030
|4.0%
|148
|0.6%
|106
|0.4%
|39
|0.2%
|33
|0.1%
|45
|0.2%
|6
|0.0%
|12
|0.1%
|3
|0.0%
|4,032
|15.7%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,792
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22.5%
|25,727
|60,034
|42.9%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''1,876'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''40.6%'''
|1,547
|33.5%
|194
|4.2%
|131
|2.8%
|15
|0.3%
|18
|0.4%
|22
|0.5%
|12
|0.3%
|25
|0.5%
|2
|0.0%
|0
|0.0%
|6
|0.1%
|775
|16.8%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |329
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |7.1%
|4,623
|13,552
|34.1%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''10,317'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.9%'''
|5,717
|26.5%
|1,355
|6.3%
|1,015
|4.7%
|129
|0.6%
|56
|0.3%
|5
|0.0%
|42
|0.2%
|5
|0.0%
|3
|0.0%
|5
|0.0%
|3
|0.0%
|2,891
|13.4%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,600
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.4%
|21,543
|31,856
|67.6%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
|3,775
|38.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''3,896'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''39.3%'''
|388
|3.9%
|341
|3.4%
|62
|0.6%
|44
|0.4%
|88
|0.9%
|25
|0.3%
|41
|0.4%
|11
|0.1%
|4
|0.0%
|8
|0.1%
|1,224
|12.4%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |–121
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |–1.2%
|9,907
|31,914
|31.0%
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Totals
!268,029
!43.7%
!200,456
!32.7%
!35,537
!5.8%
!24,868
!4.1%
!3,014
!0.5%
!1,921
!0.3%
!754
!0.1%
!668
!0.1%
!628
!0.1%
!242
!0.0%
!208
!0.0%
!184
!0.0%
!76,846
!12.5%
!67,573
!11.0%
!613,355
!1,256,343
!48.8%
|}

=== By congressional district ===
{| class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |Congressional district<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn†)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn†)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |]<br /><small>(withdrawn)</small>
! colspan="2" |]
! colspan="2" |Michael A. Ellinger
! colspan="2" |Others{{efn|Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates who formally withdrew (Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer<ref name="AZ-candidates">{{cite web |title=Running for Federal Office, Arizona Secretary of State |url=https://azsos.gov/node/359 |website=azsos.gov |publisher=Arizona Secretary of State |access-date=March 20, 2020}}</ref>) do not have their vote totals officially reported.<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />}}{{efn|Calculated by subtracting the totals of all reported candidates from the total votes reported.|name="unknown"}}
! colspan="2" |Margin
! rowspan="2" |Total votes cast
! rowspan="2" |Eligible voters
! rowspan="2" |Voter turnout
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
!#
!%
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''32,749'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''45.8%'''
|22,336
|31.2%
|3,776
|5.3%
|2,472
|3.5%
|432
|0.6%
|302
|0.4%
|107
|0.2%
|119
|0.2%
|117
|0.2%
|53
|0.1%
|55
|0.1%
|33
|0.1%
|8,954
|12.5%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,413
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |14.6%
|71,505
|167,908
|42.6%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''43,970'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''45.9%'''
|28,927
|30.2%
|6,741
|7.0%
|3,814
|4.0%
|479
|0.5%
|240
|0.3%
|82
|0.1%
|88
|0.1%
|72
|0.1%
|30
|0.0%
|19
|0.0%
|18
|0.0%
|11,238
|11.7%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,043
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |15.7%
|95,718
|160,428
|59.7%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
|23,744
|38.7%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''24,766'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''40.4%'''
|2,724
|4.4%
|1,595
|2.6%
|292
|0.5%
|180
|0.3%
|222
|0.4%
|72
|0.1%
|115
|0.2%
|34
|0.1%
|17
|0.0%
|31
|0.1%
|7,505
|12.2%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |−1,022
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |−1.7%
|61,297
|158,635
|38.6%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''22,338'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.4%'''
|11,925
|25.3%
|2,550
|5.4%
|2,298
|4.9%
|293
|0.6%
|164
|0.4%
|42
|0.1%
|100
|0.2%
|61
|0.1%
|20
|0.0%
|31
|0.1%
|15
|0.0%
|7,291
|15.5%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,413
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22.1%
|47,128
|90,296
|52.2%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''27,851'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44.3%'''
|19,636
|31.3%
|3,721
|5.9%
|3,020
|4.8%
|302
|0.5%
|210
|0.3%
|36
|0.1%
|58
|0.1%
|35
|0.1%
|8
|0.0%
|13
|0.0%
|13
|0.0%
|7,920
|12.6%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,215
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.1%
|62,823
|121,006
|51.9%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''34,295'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.4%'''
|19,878
|27.5%
|4,240
|5.9%
|3,570
|4.9%
|347
|0.5%
|156
|0.2%
|33
|0.1%
|57
|0.1%
|34
|0.1%
|20
|0.0%
|15
|0.0%
|10
|0.0%
|9,676
|13.4%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,417
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.9%
|72,331
|129,893
|55.7%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
|19,789
|35.6%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''24,701'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44.4%'''
|2,676
|4.8%
|1,572
|2.8%
|182
|0.3%
|191
|0.3%
|124
|0.2%
|42
|0.1%
|77
|0.1%
|27
|0.1%
|11
|0.0%
|23
|0.0%
|6,202
|11.2%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |−4,912
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |−8.8%
|55,617
|148,509
|37.5%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''30,594'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''46.8%'''
|17,537
|26.8%
|3,420
|5.2%
|3,098
|4.7%
|334
|0.5%
|206
|0.3%
|59
|0.1%
|74
|0.1%
|59
|0.1%
|22
|0.0%
|28
|0.0%
|21
|0.0%
|9,985
|15.3%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,057
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.0%
|65,437
|123,996
|52.8%
|- style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |]
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''32,699'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''40.1%'''
|30,750
|37.7%
|5,689
|7.0%
|3,429
|4.2%
|353
|0.4%
|272
|0.3%
|49
|0.1%
|58
|0.1%
|58
|0.1%
|28
|0.0%
|19
|0.0%
|20
|0.0%
|8,075
|9.9%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,949
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2.4%
|81,499
|155,672
|52.4%
|- style="text-align:center;"
!Totals
!268,029
!43.7%
!200,456
!32.7%
!35,537
!5.8%
!24,868
!4.1%
!3,014
!0.5%
!1,921
!0.3%
!754
!0.1%
!668
!0.1%
!628
!0.1%
!242
!0.0%
!208
!0.0%
!184
!0.0%
!76,846
!12.5%
!67,573
!11.0%
!613,355
!1,256,343
!48.8%
|}

== Analysis ==
] was a hotly contested state throughout both the primary and general election seasons due to its rapidly diversifying electorate. A high concentration of Hispanic and Latino voters as well as an intense swing to the left in suburban areas and the Republican Party having moved to the right, strengthened Democratic support while drawing new divides in the Democratic Party.<ref name=":2">{{Cite web|last=Savicki|first=Drew|date=October 5, 2020|title=The Road to 270: Arizona|url=https://www.270towin.com/news/2020/10/05/the-road-270-arizona_1108.html|url-status=live|access-date=2021-04-01|website=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201008034405/https://www.270towin.com/news/2020/10/05/the-road-270-arizona_1108.html |archive-date=October 8, 2020 }}</ref> In ], ] defeated ] by a 14.9% margin;<ref>{{Cite web|date=April 4, 2016|title=State of Arizona Official Canvass – 2016 Presidential Preference Election – March 22, 2016|url=https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/canvass2016ppe.pdf|url-status=live|access-date=April 17, 2021|publisher=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160418135744/http://apps.azsos.gov:80/election/2016/PPE/canvass2016ppe.pdf |archive-date=April 18, 2016 }}</ref> despite Sanders being trailing Biden significantly nationwide, he actually improved on his performance in Arizona in 2020, losing it by an 11.0% margin.<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" /> This improvement was mostly attributable to improvements among Hispanic and Latino voters: Sanders performed well among that demographic throughout the primary as opposed to 2016, when Clinton handily carried regions with high densities of Hispanic voters.<ref name=":3">{{Cite web|last=Klar|first=Rebecca|date=2020-03-17|title=Biden wins Arizona primary, capping off victories in three states|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/487672-biden-declared-winner-of-arizona-primary|url-status=live|access-date=2021-04-17|website=]|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200318144444/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/487672-biden-declared-winner-of-arizona-primary |archive-date=March 18, 2020 }}</ref> Per ] exit polls,<ref name=":1" /> Biden won Hispanic voters 45-44 compared to white voters, who he won 51–32. Sanders won ], where 64.6% of the population are Hispanic or Latino, as well as ] and ] congressional districts; the former, home to ], ], and most of the southern border, is 65.1% Hispanic,<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|title=My Congressional District Arizona Congressional District 3|url=https://www.census.gov/mycd/?st=04&cd=03|url-status=live|access-date=2021-04-17|website=My Congressional District|publisher=]|language=EN-US|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181203222042/https://www.census.gov/mycd/?st=04&cd=03 |archive-date=December 3, 2018 }}</ref> while the latter, composing much of inner ], is 64.0% Hispanic.<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|title=My Congressional District Arizona Congressional District 7|url=https://www.census.gov/mycd/?st=04&cd=07|url-status=live|access-date=2021-04-17|website=My Congressional District|publisher=]|language=EN-US|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181226035339/https://www.census.gov/mycd/?st=04&cd=07 |archive-date=December 26, 2018 }}</ref> Nonetheless, Biden's performance represented a significant improvement among voters of these demographics from earlier in the primary,<ref name=":3" /> which was compounded by a strong performance in the state's suburbs. He won ], which holds ] and 61.6% of the population, by 33,328 votes,<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" /> largely due to the Phoenix suburbs, which have been reliably Republican since the 1950s but have recently shifted to the left.<ref name=":2" /> He also won ], the second largest county and home to Tucson, by 17,668 votes.<ref name="AZ-SOS-results" />

The results of the primary would be reflected in the ]: Biden would end up winning Arizona by 10,457 votes, the first Democrat to do so since ] in ] and only the second since ] in ]. He would also become the first to win crucial Maricopa County since Truman. His performance in predominantly-Hispanic areas in urban areas and along the southern border would also decline compared to 2016, though would be supplemented by a raw increase in voter turnout.<ref>{{Cite news|last1=Collins|first1=Keith|last2=Fessenden|first2=Ford|last3=Gamio|first3=Lazaro|last4=Harris|first4=Rich|last5=Keefe|first5=John|last6=Lu|first6=Denise|last7=Lutz|first7=Eleanor|last8=Walker|first8=Amy Schoenfeld|last9=Watkins|first9=Derek|title=Phoenix's Blue Wave Pushes Arizona Toward Biden|language=en-US|work=]|date=November 10, 2020 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/09/us/arizona-election-battleground-state-counties.html|access-date=2021-04-17|issn=0362-4331}}</ref>


==Notes== ==Notes==
;Additional candidates
{{notelist}} {{notelist}}


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==External links== ==External links==
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Latest revision as of 18:33, 20 November 2024

2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary
← 2016 March 17, 2020 2024 →
← MPFL →
80 delegates (67 pledged, 13 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 38 29
Popular vote 268,029 200,456
Percentage 43.70% 32.70%
 
Candidate Michael Bloomberg
(withdrawn) 		Elizabeth Warren
(withdrawn)
Home state New York Massachusetts
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 58,797 35,537
Percentage 9.59% 5.79%
Election results by county
  Joe Biden   Bernie Sanders
Elections in Arizona
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
Treasurer elections
Superintendent elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
List of Arizona ballot propositions
Phoenix
Mayoral elections
Tucson
Mayoral elections
Other localities
Gilbert
  • 2012
Glendale
Maricopa County
Mesa
Scottsdale
  • 2008
  • 2012
Pledged national
convention delegates
Type Del.
CD1 5
CD2 6
CD3 5
CD4 3
CD5 5
CD6 5
CD7 4
CD8 5
CD9 6
PLEO 9
At-large 14
Total pledged delegates 67

The 2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary took place on March 17, 2020, the third primary Tuesday of the month, as one of three contests on the same day in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, while the contest in Ohio had been postponed for roughly a month. The closed primary allocated 80 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 67 were pledged delegates allocated according to the results of the primary.

Three major candidates ran in the primary, including former vice president Joe Biden, senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont, and representative Tulsi Gabbard from Hawaii's 2nd district. 12 other candidates who withdrew prior to the contest were also on the ballot, along with three minor candidates. Biden won the primary, with almost 44% of the vote and 38 delegates, while Sanders came in second place with almost 33% of the vote and 29 delegates. In a distant third was former mayor Michael Bloomberg, who came close to 10%, even though he had suspended his campaign nearly two weeks before and had issued an official withdrawal with the state, still remaining on the ballot.

Biden won 13 of 15 counties, with the exception of Coconino and Yuma, and 7 of 9 congressional districts. Key to his victory were white voters, whom he won 51-32 per CNN exit polls, and suburban voters, who he won 53–32. In a stark contrast from 2016, Sanders' strength was reliant primarily on non-white and Hispanic voters, whom Biden won by only 47-45 and 45–44, respectively. Biden would ultimately win the state of Arizona in the general election by 10,457 votes, making him the first Democrat to win it since Bill Clinton in 1996 and only the second since Harry Truman did so in 1948.

Procedure

Sanders at a rally in Phoenix on March 5, 2020

Arizona was one of three states holding primaries on March 17, 2020, alongside Florida and Illinois, while only one day before Ohio had been the first state to postpone its primary due to the COVID-19 pandemic and cancel in-person voting, accepting ballots until April 28 instead.

Voters had to have registered as Democrats by February 18 to be eligible for voting in the primary. Arizona mailed ballots to voters on the permanent early voting list. Ballots had to be received by 7:00 p.m. on March 17, 2020. In addition, some Arizona counties offered early voting sites, where any voter could walk in and vote in person, Monday to Friday, from February 19 through March 13, 2020. Voting took place from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m MST. In the closed primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable for delegates. The 67 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 3 and 6 were allocated to each of the state's 9 congressional districts and another 9 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 14 at-large delegates. As a March primary on Stage I of the primary timetable Arizona received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.

District caucuses were held on April 18, 2020, to designate national convention district delegates. The state convention and state committee meeting were subsequently held on May 16, 2020, to vote on the 14 at-large and 9 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 13 unpledged PLEO delegates: 7 members of the Democratic National Committee and 6 members of Congress (one senator and 5 representatives).

Candidates

The following candidates appeared on the ballot in Arizona. Candidates that had filed a formal withdrawal with the office remained on the ballot because it had already been printed but their votes were not individually published in the final canvass, making them effectively ineligible.

Running

Withdrawn

Formal withdrawal (ineligible)

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Joe
Biden 		Bernie
Sanders 		Tulsi
Gabbard 		Other/
Undecided
270 to Win Mar 17, 2020 Mar 3–16, 2020 50.6% 29.4% 1.0% 19.0%
RealClear Politics Mar 17, 2020 Mar 6–15, 2020 51.7% 33.7% 1.0% 13.6%
FiveThirtyEight Mar 17, 2020 until Mar 16, 2020 51.6% 26.9% 1.1% 20.4%
Average 51.3% 30.0% 1.0% 17.7%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arizona Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Andrew
Yang 		Other Undecided
Swayable Mar 16, 2020 1,167 (LV) ± 5.0% 53% – – – 29% – – 19% –
Marist/NBC News Mar 10–15, 2020 523 (LV) ± 6.0% 53% – – – 36% – – 8% 3%
913 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% – – – 37% – – 9% 5%
Monmouth University Mar 11–14, 2020 373 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 5% 3% – 31% 3% – 2% 5%
Latino Decisions/Univision/
Arizona State University 		Mar 6–11, 2020 541 (LV) ± 4.2% 57% – – – 38% – – – 5%
51% – – – 34% – – 6% 8%
March 4–5, 2020 Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race
OH Predictive Insights Mar 3–4, 2020 398 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 12% – – 17% 13% – 4% 9%
March 1–2, 2020 Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race
February 11, 2020 New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
OH Predictive Insights Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019 260 (LV) ± 6.1% 29% – 9% 5% 16% 18% 4% 19% –
Emerson Polling Oct 25–28, 2019 339 ± 5.2% 28% – 12% 4% 21% 21% 5% 7% –
Siena Research/New York Times Oct 13–26, 2019 209 – 24% – 5% 3% 16% 15% 1% 1% 31%
Change Research Sep 27–28, 2019 396 (LV) – 15% – 13% 4% 19% 35% 8% 7% –
Bendixen&Amandi Sep 9–12, 2019 250 ± 4.3% 29% – 5% 4% 18% 24% 2% 8% 10%
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 197 ± 7.0% 35% – 6% 4% 16% 10% 0% 11% –

Results

Popular vote share by county   Biden—40–50%   Biden—50–60%   Sanders—30–40%   Sanders—40–50%
2020 Arizona Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 268,029 43.70 38
Bernie Sanders 200,456 32.70 29
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 35,537 5.79
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 24,868 4.05
Tulsi Gabbard 3,014 0.49
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 1,921 0.31
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 754 0.12
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 668 0.11
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 242 0.04
Henry Hewes 208 0.03
Other candidates 812 0.13
Other votes 4,942 0.81
Ineligible candidates

0Michael Bloomberg
0Amy Klobuchar
0Tom Steyer
0John Delaney
0Cory Booker
0Michael Bennet

71,904

58,797
10,333
1,381
505
494
394

11.72

9.59
1.68
0.23
0.08
0.08
0.06

Total 613,355 100% 67

By county

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren
(withdrawn†) 		Pete Buttigieg
(withdrawn†) 		Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang
(withdrawn) 		Julián Castro
(withdrawn) 		Marianne Williamson
(withdrawn) 		Rocky De La Fuente Deval Patrick
(withdrawn) 		Henry Hewes Michael A. Ellinger Others Margin Total votes cast Eligible voters Voter turnout
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Apache 3,092 44.0% 2,523 35.9% 252 3.6% 143 2.0% 48 0.7% 36 0.5% 20 0.3% 25 0.4% 26 0.4% 22 0.3% 13 0.2% 10 0.1% 818 11.6% 569 8.1% 7,028 28,734 24.5%
Cochise 4,123 41.7% 2,694 27.3% 678 6.9% 466 4.7% 93 0.9% 34 0.3% 22 0.2% 20 0.2% 26 0.3% 10 0.1% 8 0.1% 4 0.0% 1,710 17.3% 1,429 14.4% 9,888 20,356 48.6%
Coconino 6,578 37.4% 7,650 43.5% 1,255 7.1% 527 3.0% 94 0.5% 64 0.4% 16 0.1% 23 0.1% 17 0.1% 13 0.1% 9 0.1% 5 0.0% 1,354 7.7% –1,072 –6.1% 17,605 35,901 49.0%
Gila 2,041 47.8% 928 21.7% 192 4.5% 181 4.2% 37 0.9% 25 0.6% 10 0.2% 24 0.6% 8 0.2% 3 0.0% 11 0.3% 2 0.1% 807 18.9% 1,113 26.1% 4,269 8,845 48.3%
Graham 774 46.2% 420 25.0% 70 4.2% 44 2.6% 17 1.0% 14 0.8% 8 0.5% 5 0.3% 10 0.6% 0 0.0% 2 0.1% 0 0.0% 313 18.7% 354 21.1% 1,677 5,082 33.0%
Greenlee 316 45.0% 138 19.6% 25 3.6% 30 4.3% 14 2.0% 6 0.9% 4 0.6% 1 0.1% 4 0.6% 0 0.0% 3 0.4% 1 0.1% 161 22.9% 178 25.3% 703 1,756 40.0%
La Paz 323 44.8% 193 26.8% 29 4.0% 21 2.9% 6 0.8% 6 0.8% 5 0.7% 3 0.4% 2 0.3% 1 0.1% 1 0.1% 2 0.3% 129 17.9% 130 18.0% 721 2,282 31.6%
Maricopa 153,707 42.9% 120,379 33.6% 20,584 5.7% 15,346 4.3% 1,620 0.4% 1,109 0.3% 345 0.1% 307 0.1% 297 0.1% 121 0.0% 99 0.0% 92 0.0% 44,384 12.4% 33,328 9.3% 358,390 732,376 48.9%
Mohave 4,450 47.4% 2,142 22.8% 432 4.6% 493 5.3% 64 0.7% 38 0.4% 7 0.1% 18 0.2% 16 0.2% 7 0.1% 7 0.1% 5 0.4% 1,701 18.1% 2,308 24.6% 9,380 20,872 44.9%
Navajo 3,585 44.3% 2,617 32.8% 316 3.9% 193 2.4% 54 0.7% 59 0.7% 14 0.2% 25 0.3% 18 0.2% 11 0.1% 14 0.2% 10 0.1% 1,169 14.5% 968 12.0% 8,085 25,215 32.1%
Pima 60,622 45.3% 42,954 32.1% 8,602 6.4% 4,907 3.7% 613 0.5% 306 0.2% 149 0.1% 105 0.1% 88 0.1% 32 0.0% 20 0.0% 33 0.0% 15,378 11.5% 17,668 13.2% 133,809 237,568 56.3%
Pinal 12,450 48.4% 6,658 25.9% 1,165 4.5% 1,030 4.0% 148 0.6% 106 0.4% 39 0.2% 33 0.1% 45 0.2% 6 0.0% 12 0.1% 3 0.0% 4,032 15.7% 5,792 22.5% 25,727 60,034 42.9%
Santa Cruz 1,876 40.6% 1,547 33.5% 194 4.2% 131 2.8% 15 0.3% 18 0.4% 22 0.5% 12 0.3% 25 0.5% 2 0.0% 0 0.0% 6 0.1% 775 16.8% 329 7.1% 4,623 13,552 34.1%
Yavapai 10,317 47.9% 5,717 26.5% 1,355 6.3% 1,015 4.7% 129 0.6% 56 0.3% 5 0.0% 42 0.2% 5 0.0% 3 0.0% 5 0.0% 3 0.0% 2,891 13.4% 4,600 21.4% 21,543 31,856 67.6%
Yuma 3,775 38.1% 3,896 39.3% 388 3.9% 341 3.4% 62 0.6% 44 0.4% 88 0.9% 25 0.3% 41 0.4% 11 0.1% 4 0.0% 8 0.1% 1,224 12.4% –121 –1.2% 9,907 31,914 31.0%
Totals 268,029 43.7% 200,456 32.7% 35,537 5.8% 24,868 4.1% 3,014 0.5% 1,921 0.3% 754 0.1% 668 0.1% 628 0.1% 242 0.0% 208 0.0% 184 0.0% 76,846 12.5% 67,573 11.0% 613,355 1,256,343 48.8%

By congressional district

Congressional district Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren
(withdrawn†) 		Pete Buttigieg
(withdrawn†) 		Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang
(withdrawn) 		Julián Castro
(withdrawn) 		Marianne Williamson
(withdrawn) 		Rocky De La Fuente Deval Patrick
(withdrawn) 		Henry Hewes Michael A. Ellinger Others Margin Total votes cast Eligible voters Voter turnout
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
1st 32,749 45.8% 22,336 31.2% 3,776 5.3% 2,472 3.5% 432 0.6% 302 0.4% 107 0.2% 119 0.2% 117 0.2% 53 0.1% 55 0.1% 33 0.1% 8,954 12.5% 10,413 14.6% 71,505 167,908 42.6%
2nd 43,970 45.9% 28,927 30.2% 6,741 7.0% 3,814 4.0% 479 0.5% 240 0.3% 82 0.1% 88 0.1% 72 0.1% 30 0.0% 19 0.0% 18 0.0% 11,238 11.7% 15,043 15.7% 95,718 160,428 59.7%
3rd 23,744 38.7% 24,766 40.4% 2,724 4.4% 1,595 2.6% 292 0.5% 180 0.3% 222 0.4% 72 0.1% 115 0.2% 34 0.1% 17 0.0% 31 0.1% 7,505 12.2% −1,022 −1.7% 61,297 158,635 38.6%
4th 22,338 47.4% 11,925 25.3% 2,550 5.4% 2,298 4.9% 293 0.6% 164 0.4% 42 0.1% 100 0.2% 61 0.1% 20 0.0% 31 0.1% 15 0.0% 7,291 15.5% 10,413 22.1% 47,128 90,296 52.2%
5th 27,851 44.3% 19,636 31.3% 3,721 5.9% 3,020 4.8% 302 0.5% 210 0.3% 36 0.1% 58 0.1% 35 0.1% 8 0.0% 13 0.0% 13 0.0% 7,920 12.6% 8,215 13.1% 62,823 121,006 51.9%
6th 34,295 47.4% 19,878 27.5% 4,240 5.9% 3,570 4.9% 347 0.5% 156 0.2% 33 0.1% 57 0.1% 34 0.1% 20 0.0% 15 0.0% 10 0.0% 9,676 13.4% 14,417 19.9% 72,331 129,893 55.7%
7th 19,789 35.6% 24,701 44.4% 2,676 4.8% 1,572 2.8% 182 0.3% 191 0.3% 124 0.2% 42 0.1% 77 0.1% 27 0.1% 11 0.0% 23 0.0% 6,202 11.2% −4,912 −8.8% 55,617 148,509 37.5%
8th 30,594 46.8% 17,537 26.8% 3,420 5.2% 3,098 4.7% 334 0.5% 206 0.3% 59 0.1% 74 0.1% 59 0.1% 22 0.0% 28 0.0% 21 0.0% 9,985 15.3% 13,057 20.0% 65,437 123,996 52.8%
9th 32,699 40.1% 30,750 37.7% 5,689 7.0% 3,429 4.2% 353 0.4% 272 0.3% 49 0.1% 58 0.1% 58 0.1% 28 0.0% 19 0.0% 20 0.0% 8,075 9.9% 1,949 2.4% 81,499 155,672 52.4%
Totals 268,029 43.7% 200,456 32.7% 35,537 5.8% 24,868 4.1% 3,014 0.5% 1,921 0.3% 754 0.1% 668 0.1% 628 0.1% 242 0.0% 208 0.0% 184 0.0% 76,846 12.5% 67,573 11.0% 613,355 1,256,343 48.8%

Analysis

Arizona was a hotly contested state throughout both the primary and general election seasons due to its rapidly diversifying electorate. A high concentration of Hispanic and Latino voters as well as an intense swing to the left in suburban areas and the Republican Party having moved to the right, strengthened Democratic support while drawing new divides in the Democratic Party. In 2016, Hillary Clinton defeated Bernie Sanders by a 14.9% margin; despite Sanders being trailing Biden significantly nationwide, he actually improved on his performance in Arizona in 2020, losing it by an 11.0% margin. This improvement was mostly attributable to improvements among Hispanic and Latino voters: Sanders performed well among that demographic throughout the primary as opposed to 2016, when Clinton handily carried regions with high densities of Hispanic voters. Per CNN exit polls, Biden won Hispanic voters 45-44 compared to white voters, who he won 51–32. Sanders won Yuma County, where 64.6% of the population are Hispanic or Latino, as well as Arizona's 3rd and 7th congressional districts; the former, home to Tucson, Yuma, and most of the southern border, is 65.1% Hispanic, while the latter, composing much of inner Phoenix, is 64.0% Hispanic. Nonetheless, Biden's performance represented a significant improvement among voters of these demographics from earlier in the primary, which was compounded by a strong performance in the state's suburbs. He won Maricopa County, which holds Phoenix and 61.6% of the population, by 33,328 votes, largely due to the Phoenix suburbs, which have been reliably Republican since the 1950s but have recently shifted to the left. He also won Pima County, the second largest county and home to Tucson, by 17,668 votes.

The results of the primary would be reflected in the general election: Biden would end up winning Arizona by 10,457 votes, the first Democrat to do so since Bill Clinton in 1996 and only the second since Harry S. Truman in 1948. He would also become the first to win crucial Maricopa County since Truman. His performance in predominantly-Hispanic areas in urban areas and along the southern border would also decline compared to 2016, though would be supplemented by a raw increase in voter turnout.

Notes

  1. Bloomberg publicly withdrew on March 4, 2020, thirteen days before the primary, and later also officially withdrew in the state, but absentee and early voting had already occurred and he was not taken off the ballot.
  2. Warren withdrew on March 5, 2020, twelve days before the primary. Absentee and early voting had already occurred.
  3. ^ Candidate withdrew before Super Tuesday during early voting.
  4. ^ Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday during early voting.
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  6. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 18%
  9. Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
  10. Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 7%
  11. Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; "Other" with <1%
  12. ^ In a two-person race
  13. Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 5%
  14. "Another Candidate" with 4%
  15. Booker, Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, O'Rourke and Steyer with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Bullock and Williamson with no voters; other with 7%
  16. Gabbard, Klobuchar and O'Rourke with 2%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
  17. Klobuchar with 1%; Booker, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 0%; others with 0%
  18. O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Steyer with 0%
  19. O'Rourke with 4%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; someone else with 1%
  20. Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee and Klobuchar with 0%
  21. While Bloomberg, Klobuchar, Steyer, Delaney, Booker and Bennet had formally withdrawn and were not published in the final state canvass, those ballots were included by the state as part of overall cast ballots and any media covering the primary reported individual vote tallies for those candidates.
  22. Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates who formally withdrew (Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer) do not have their vote totals officially reported.
  23. ^ Calculated by subtracting the totals of all reported candidates from the total votes reported.
  24. Percentages reported by the Arizona Secretary of State do not add up to 100. This may be due to the fact that candidates who formally withdrew (Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Steyer) do not have their vote totals officially reported.

References

  1. "State of Arizona Official Canvass 2020 Presidential Preference Election – Mar 17, 2020" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. March 30, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 19, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
  2. ^ "Arizona Primary Polls". CNN. Archived from the original on February 28, 2020. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  3. "Early Voting Sites". Pima County Recorder. Archived from the original on October 5, 2018. Retrieved February 21, 2021.
  4. "Democratic Presidential Preference Election – Vote Centers" (PDF). Maricopa County Recorder. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 20, 2020.
  5. ^ "Arizona Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Archived from the original on July 14, 2017. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  6. "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
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