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2020 United States Senate election in Michigan: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 12:10, 21 April 2020 editVmanjr (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users2,762 edits Declined: article says nothing about the 2020 Senate primary, and has nothing about Whitmer actively saying that she will not run in the race - declining to run is an active action← Previous edit Revision as of 13:28, 21 April 2020 edit undoSteelbeard1 (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, Pending changes reviewers24,762 edits update with citationNext edit →
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The '''2020 United States Senate election in Michigan''' will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the ] to represent the State of ], concurrently with the ], as well as ] to the United States Senate in other states, ] to the ], and various ] and ]. The '''2020 United States Senate election in Michigan''' will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the ] to represent the State of ], concurrently with the ], as well as ] to the United States Senate in other states, ] to the ], and various ] and ].


], incumbent Democratic Senator, is one of two Democratic Senators facing re-election in 2020 in a state President ] carried in 2016 (the other being ] of Alabama).<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/trump-won-michigan-2016-matter-gary-peters-2020|title=Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?|first1=Simone|last1=Pathé|first2=Simone|last2=Pathé|date=January 31, 2019|via=www.rollcall.com}}</ref> The primary is scheduled for August 4.<ref>{{cite web |title=United States Senate election in Michigan, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary) |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Michigan,_2020_(August_4_Democratic_primary) |website=ballotpedia.org |accessdate=January 13, 2020}}</ref> The filing deadline for candidates to run in the August primary is April 21.<ref>https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/Filing_Req_For_US_Senator2020_REDO_659727_7.pdf</ref> ], incumbent Democratic Senator, is one of two Democratic Senators facing re-election in 2020 in a state President ] carried in 2016 (the other being ] of Alabama).<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/trump-won-michigan-2016-matter-gary-peters-2020|title=Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?|first1=Simone|last1=Pathé|first2=Simone|last2=Pathé|date=January 31, 2019|via=www.rollcall.com}}</ref> The primary is scheduled for August 4.<ref>{{cite web |title=United States Senate election in Michigan, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary) |url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Michigan,_2020_(August_4_Democratic_primary) |website=ballotpedia.org |accessdate=January 13, 2020}}</ref> The filing deadline for candidates to run in the August primary is April 21,<ref>https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/Filing_Req_For_US_Senator2020_REDO_659727_7.pdf</ref> but may be extended to May 8 due to the ] pandemic.<ref>https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/judge-extends-filing-deadline-michigan-candidates-citing-coronavirus?utm_source=Bridge+Magazine&utm_campaign=53dac9781b-Bridge+Newsletter+04%2F21%2F2020&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c64a28dd5a-53dac9781b-73883185</ref>


==Democratic primary== ==Democratic primary==

Revision as of 13:28, 21 April 2020

2020 United States Senate election in Michigan

← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Gary Peters
Democratic



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The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Gary Peters, incumbent Democratic Senator, is one of two Democratic Senators facing re-election in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016 (the other being Doug Jones of Alabama). The primary is scheduled for August 4. The filing deadline for candidates to run in the August primary is April 21, but may be extended to May 8 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Gary Peters
U.S. federal officials
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Peters (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John James, businessman, Iraq War veteran, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018

Declined

Endorsements

John James
Executive Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Carr
Republican John James
Total votes 100.00%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D March 9, 2020
Inside Elections Lean D March 9, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D March 9, 2020
Politico Lean D March 13, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

John James vs. Gary Peters
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Gary Peters John James Other/Undecided Margin
Real Clear Politics January 3,2020 – March 20, 2020 March 20, 2020 43.7% 38.0% Peters +5.7
with John James
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gary
Peters (D)
John
James (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,019 ± 3.1% 45% 38% 17%
Spry Strategies (R) March 30 – April 1, 2020 602 ± 4.0% 42% 40% 18%
Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan)[40] March 12–21, 2020 600 ± 4.0% 48% 39% 13%
Marketing Resource Group (R) March 16–20, 2020 600 ± 4.0% 42% 35% 13%
Firehouse/0ptimus March 5–7, 2020 550 ± 5.0% 40% 41% 11%
Quinnipiac University February 12–18, 2020 845 ± 3.4% 45% 39% 15%
Baldwin Wallace University January 8–20, 2020 1,023 ± 3.1% 42% 32% 26%
Glengariff Group January 3–7, 2020 600 ± 4.0% 44% 40% 16%
Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan)[41] November 24–26, 2019 600 ± 3.0% 43% 44% 12%
Emerson College October 31 – November 3, 2019 1,051 ± 3.5% 46% 40% 14%
Marketing Resource Group (R) October 7–10, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17%
Target-Insyght/MIRS News September 24–26, 2019 804 ± 3.5% 53% 37% 10%
Denno Research/Vanguard PA/PSC (D) September 21–24, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 40% 39% 21%
Emerson College March 7–10, 2019 743 ± 3.5% 44% 43% 14%
with Bob Carr and John James
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gary
Peters (D)
Bob
Carr (R)
John
James (R)
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes March 17–25, 2020 822 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 6% 27% 28%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gary
Peters (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Denno Research May 8–10, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 42% 36% 21%

Results

United States Senate election in Michigan, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gary Peters (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0%

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. The survey indicates the candidate is called 'Bob Barr', but this is assumed to be an error.
  5. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Pathé, Simone; Pathé, Simone (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?" – via www.rollcall.com.
  2. "United States Senate election in Michigan, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  3. https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/Filing_Req_For_US_Senator2020_REDO_659727_7.pdf
  4. https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/judge-extends-filing-deadline-michigan-candidates-citing-coronavirus?utm_source=Bridge+Magazine&utm_campaign=53dac9781b-Bridge+Newsletter+04%2F21%2F2020&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c64a28dd5a-53dac9781b-73883185
  5. Carlson, Kate (February 18, 2019). "Peters, Upton slam Trump's emergency declaration". Holland Sentinel. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  6. Peters, Gary (January 3, 2020). "Incumbent Senator Gary Peters files for re-election" (Tweet). Retrieved January 3, 2019 – via Twitter.
  7. Dovere, Edward-Isaac (November 18, 2018). "How the Democrats Took Back Michigan". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 26, 2018.
  8. Schatz, Brian (June 6, 2019). "Gary Peters is an extraordinary Senator for the state of Michigan. He's great on climate, national security, and has served as an officer in the Navy reserve. Republicans are targeting him. Can you please send him some bucks?https://petersformichigan.com".
  9. Stabenow, Debbie (February 9, 2020). "Service to others. Delivering results and getting things done. I can't think of a better way to describe @GaryPeters and his tireless commitment to Michigan. Let's do everything we can to have Gary's back this November!".
  10. Murphy, Chris (April 18, 2020). "Donald's Trump is going to pull out every stop to beat my friend, Senator Gary Peters of Michigan. It's Trump's number one Senate priority. Can you help Gary today? We cannot let Trump acolyte John James win that seat".
  11. Brady-Enerson, Mary (February 10, 2020). "Clean Water Action Endorses Gary Peters for US Senate". Clean Water Action.
  12. "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  13. Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. Senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
  14. Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
  15. Burke, Holly (February 25, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Gary Peters for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
  16. "MEA announces initial federal candidate recommendations". Michigan Education Association. February 10, 2020.
  17. "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  18. Axelrod, Tal (October 10, 2019). "Planned Parenthood issues first wave of 2020 House, Senate endorsements". TheHill.
  19. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Gary Peters for U.S. Senate - NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America. June 17, 2019.
  20. "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection.
  21. "PROGRESSIVE WOMEN'S ALLIANCE | Endorsements". prowomall.
  22. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  23. "Candidates". VoteVets.org.
  24. "Endorsements - Voter Protection Project". Voter Protection Project.
  25. Eggert, David (June 6, 2019). "James announces Senate run against Sen. Peters in Michigan". Associated Press. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  26. "Carr, Bob |FEC-Candidate Overview,". FEC. Retrieved 2019-05-28.
  27. Sahil Kapur (November 20, 2018). "Outgoing Michigan Governor Snyder Rules Out Senate Run in 2020". Bloomberg Government. Retrieved November 20, 2018.
  28. ^ Pathé, Simone (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?". Roll Call. Retrieved February 1, 2019.
  29. Burke, Melissa Nann (January 29, 2019). "Poll: Peters starts re-election campaign with low name identification". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 30, 2019.
  30. Scott, Rick (2019-06-06). ".@JohnJamesMI launched his bid for the U.S. Senate today talking about his desire to serve. That's what his life has been about: service to his country. He's exactly the kind of servant-leader we need in Washington. Good luck, John!https://twitter.com/politico/status/1136620124029562883 …". @scottforflorida. Retrieved 2019-06-06.
  31. James, John (August 29, 2019). "I was in the great city of Jackson last night to deliver the keynote address at their annual Lincoln Day Dinner. Great to see @TimWalberg and so many local leaders, activists and volunteers! Can't wait to put your kind gift in my office! #LetsFlyMI pic.twitter.com/BMUWJTFhdQ".
  32. Schuette, Bill (2019-06-06). "Big announcement by John James! John James will be a great US senator. Onward!". @schuetteonduty. Retrieved 2019-06-06.
  33. Fleming, Leonard N. (June 10, 2019). "GOP chief McDaniel: Michigan winnable for Trump". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 10, 2019.
  34. Fund, Senate Leadership (2019-06-06). "Gary Peters, watch your 6. #MISen #LetsFlyMI twitter.com/JohnJamesMI/status/1136601241440673795 …". @senate_fund. Retrieved 2019-06-06.
  35. James, John (29 August 2019). "Thank you @Right_to_Life for your endorsement! #LetsFlyMI #ProLife". @JohnJamesMI.
  36. "2020 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. March 9, 2020. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  37. "2020 Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 9, 2020. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  38. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. March 9, 2020. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  39. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  40. https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2019/11/01/super-pac-already-spending-nearly-1-million-against-peters/4126982002/
  41. https://www.mlive.com/politics/2019/11/partisan-attack-websites-independent-groups-enter-michigan-senate-race.html

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