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The next South Korean presidential election was originally scheduled for 2027. However, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol on 14 December 2024, an early election in 2025 or 2026 is likely. According to the South Korean constitution, if President Yoon Suk Yeol resigns or is removed from office by the Constitutional Court, a snap presidential election must be held within 60 days.
The next presidential election will be the ninth presidential election since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office, making President Yoon ineligible for a second term.
Background
Main article: Impeachment of Yoon Suk YeolFollowing the declaration of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol on 3 December 2024, the opposition Democratic Party, which held a majority in the National Assembly, announced it would introduce an impeachment motion against President Yoon. On 7 December, the vote on the first impeachment motion failed to achieve the necessary two-thirds majority to meet the quorum, with the ruling People Power Party boycotting the vote.
Following the vote, PPP Leader Han Dong-hoon said President Yoon had agreed to step aside and that Prime Minister Han Duck-soo would manage state affairs until Yoon's "orderly resignation".
On 10 December, the PPP said that it was discussing Yoon's early resignation as early as February 2025 over the ongoing turmoil after his martial law declaration, followed by a snap election in April or May.
On 14 December 2024, President Yoon was impeached by the National Assembly in a second impeachment motion. The National Assembly voted with 204 of 300 lawmakers supporting impeachment.
Electoral system
Main article: Presidential elections in South KoreaThe president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election.
Potential candidates
Democratic Party
- Lee Jae-myung (Member of the National Assembly)
- Kim Dong-yeon (Governor of Gyeonggi Province)
- Kim Kyoung-soo (former Governor of South Gyeongsang Province)
People Power Party
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- Han Dong-hoon (former Minister of Justice)
- Oh Se-hoon (Mayor of Seoul)
- Hong Joon-pyo (Mayor of Daegu)
- Yoo Seong-min (former Member of the National Assembly)
- Ahn Cheol-soo (Member of the National Assembly)
New Reform Party
New Future Party
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- Lee Nak-yon (former Prime Minister of South Korea)
Declined and ineligible to run
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- Cho Kuk (former Member of the National Assembly): Cho was sentenced to prison in December 2024, making him ineligible to run for office until December 2031.
Opinion polls
Polling before nominees finalized
| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | DPK | PPP | RKP | NRP | NFP | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung | Kim Dong-yeon | Kim Kyoung-soo | Han Dong-hoon | Oh Se-hoon | Hong Joon-pyo | Yoo Seong-min | Won Hee-ryong | Ahn Cheol-soo | Cho Kuk | Lee Jun-seok | Lee Nak-yon | |||||||
| 7-9 Jan 2025 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 32 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 14 | 33 | 24 |
| 6-8 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | NBS | 31 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 31 | 24 |
| 6-7 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 39.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 9.3 | — | 6.2 | 2.6 | — | 1.5 | — | 14.1 | 7.2 | 29.6 |
| 4-6 Jan 2025 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 45.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 9.7 | — | 7.2 | 2.2 | — | 3.1 | — | 8.0 | 7.3 | 35.4 |
| 4-5 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | KOPRA / Newdaily | 40.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 8.5 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 7.9 | — | — | 3.1 | — | 5.6 | 8.3 | 30.6 |
| 3-4 Jan 2025 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 42.8 | 3.0 | — | 5.4 | 5.8 | 8.2 | — | — | 2.3 | — | 2.1 | — | 3.8 | 26.7 | 34.6 |
| 29–31 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Researchview | 42 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 33 |
| 29–31 Dec 2024 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Next Researach / Maeil Business | 32 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | — | 9 | 28 | 24 |
| 29–31 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Researach / KBS | 36 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | 9 | 27 | 28 |
| 29-30 Dec 2024 | 1,003 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 40 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 22 | 32 |
| 29–30 Dec 2024 | 1,010 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 40.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 6.9 | — | 3.1 | 1.6 | — | 3.5 | 1.8 | 17.9 | 5.3 | 31.1 |
| 29–30 Dec 2024 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Embrain Public / JoongAngIlbo | 35 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 27 |
| 28-29 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Research&Research / Dong-A Ilbo | 39.5 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 3.7 | — | 3.0 | — | 2.3 | — | 8.1 | 11.5 | 30.6 |
| 28–29 Dec 2024 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Metavoice / Kyunghyang Shinmun | 33 | 2 | — | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 26 |
| 26–27 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Researach / Korea Times | 35 | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | 7 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 10 | 28 | 28 |
| 22–23 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Researach / Hankookilbo | 38 | 2 | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 10 | 24 | 31 |
| 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 37 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 8 | 35 | 32 |
| 14–16 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 48.0 | 5.7 | — | 8.0 | 5.7 | 7.0 | — | 4.8 | 2.8 | — | 4.0 | — | 5.9 | 8.1 | 40.0 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 49.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | — | — | 3.3 | 6.8 | — | — | 5.6 | 8.6 | 39.9 |
| 7–9 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 47.3 | 4.1 | — | 12.9 | 5.3 | 4.6 | — | 3.5 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 3.3 | — | 2.1 | 7.3 | 34.4 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Researchview / KPI News | 46.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 | — | 3.3 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 8.6 | 39.7 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 52.4 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 9.8 | 6.7 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 5.5 | — | — | 6.1 | 7.7 | 42.6 |
| 6–7 Dec 2024 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Kukminilbo | 41 | 2 | — | 9 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | 8 | 29 | 32 |
| 6–7 Dec 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 42.5 | 2.1 | — | 9.9 | 6.2 | 6.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 5.0 | 0.8 | — | 2.3 | 24.0 | 32.6 |
| 3–5 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 29 | 3 | — | 11 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 7 | 37 | 18 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 1,047 | ±3.0 | Media Research / Newspim | 47.5 | — | — | 13.3 | 4.7 | 5.6 | — | 2.7 | — | 6.0 | — | 3.4 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 34.2 |
| 29–30 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 38.4 | 2.8 | — | 13.1 | 7.1 | 5.6 | — | — | 1.6 | 4.4 | 1.5 | — | 1.2 | 24.3 | 25.3 |
| 26–27 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | KSOI / CBS | 41.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 5.8 | — | — | — | 6.3 | — | — | 7.3 | 9.0 | 22.0 |
| 23–25 Nov 2024 | 2,001 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.8 | 4.8 | — | 17.2 | 5.2 | 5.3 | — | 4.2 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 3.6 | — | 2.0 | 7.0 | 26.6 |
| 18–19 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 43.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 17.3 | 7.6 | 5.3 | — | — | 2.5 | 6.3 | — | — | 4.6 | 7.7 | 26.3 |
| 9-11 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 46.9 | 4.1 | — | 17.0 | 4.2 | 4.7 | — | 4.0 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 3.8 | — | 2.2 | 5.5 | 29.9 |
| 8–9 Nov 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 39.3 | 2.7 | — | 12.7 | 5.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.3 | — | 2.1 | 22.1 | 26.6 |
| 4–5 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 41.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 16.7 | 8.5 | 6.3 | — | — | 2.2 | 6.6 | — | — | 6.0 | 7.1 | 24.3 |
| 1–2 Nov 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | KSOI / Ohmynews | 37.3 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 7.1 | 5.8 | — | — | — | 8.2 | 3.9 | — | 7.0 | 9.7 | 22.0 |
| 26–28 Oct 2024 | 2,000 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 45.0 | 3.2 | — | 18.6 | 5.2 | 4.3 | — | 3.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 4.8 | — | 1.5 | 6.2 | 26.4 |
| 22 Oct 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 19.2 | 6.4 | 4.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 6.0 | — | — | 5.2 | 8.7 | 23.4 |
| 12–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.3 | 4.1 | — | 19.7 | 4.9 | 4.6 | — | 3.6 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 4.0 | — | 2.7 | 4.3 | 23.6 |
| 7–8 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 40.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 7.5 | — | — | 5.9 | 8.1 | 19.1 |
| 4–5 Oct 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 35.1 | 2.0 | — | 15.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 | — | — | 2.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 | — | 2.1 | 24.9 | 19.7 |
| 28–30 Sep 2024 | 2,001 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 42.8 | 3.1 | — | 20.7 | 5.0 | 4.7 | — | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 4.4 | — | 2.4 | 5.3 | 22.1 |
| 28–29 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 41.2 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | — | 1.6 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 4.5 | — | 5.1 | 7.7 | 21.9 |
| 24–26 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 25 | 2 | — | 15 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 6 | 40 | 10 |
| 23–24 Sep 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 21.1 | 6.5 | 4.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 7.3 | — | — | 5.7 | 7.2 | 20.9 |
| 11–12 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 29 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 22 | 11 |
| 10–12 Sep 2024 | 2,004 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 44.5 | 2.9 | — | 22.0 | 4.7 | 3.2 | — | 3.6 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.4 | — | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.5 |
| 10 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 20.7 | 7.1 | 5.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 6.6 | — | — | 4.4 | 7.5 | 21.7 |
| 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 26 | 1 | — | 14 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 5 | 40 | 12 |
| 31 Aug-2 Sep 2024 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 42.1 | 3.1 | — | 20.9 | 3.7 | 3.3 | — | 4.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.9 | — | 2.2 | 7.0 | 21.2 |
| 26–27 Aug 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 40.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 24.2 | 7.3 | 3.9 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.0 | — | — | 5.3 | 7.8 | 16.5 |
| 20–21 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | KOPRA / Kihoilbo | 39.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 25.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | — | 3.4 | — | 6.3 | 4.6 | — | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.2 |
| 17–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.2 | 3.0 | — | 25.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | — | 3.2 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | — | 2.3 | 4.7 | 17.6 |
| 12–13 Aug 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 43.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 3.8 | — | — | — | 6.5 | 3.3 | — | 3.8 | 3.1 | 17.8 |
| 12–13 Aug 2024 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 28.5 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 19.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 8.7 | — | — | 8.7 | 7.1 | 8.7 |
| 9–10 Aug 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 36.1 | 1.9 | — | 17.9 | 5.2 | 4.7 | — | — | 1.7 | 5.1 | 3.1 | — | 1.1 | 23.3 | 18.2 |
| 3–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.0 | 3.1 | — | 27.8 | 3.4 | 4.1 | — | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 5.5 | — | 1.1 | 4.6 | 11.2 |
| 29–30 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 42.7 | — | — | 33.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.4 | — | 8.1 | 3.9 | 9.3 |
| 29–30 Jul 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.9 | 3.1 | — | 29.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.8 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | 4.9 | 8.4 |
| 23–25 Jul 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | — | — | 19 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 38 | 3 |
| 20–22 Jul 2024 | 4,029 | ±1.5 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.5 | 2.9 | — | 26.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | — | 5.8 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 5.1 | — | 1.3 | 3.8 | 11.6 |
| 7–8 Jul 2024 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Embrain Public / YTN | 27 | 1 | — | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 |
| 6–8 Jul 2024 | 2,008 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.2 | 3.5 | — | 24.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | — | 6.9 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 4.7 | — | 1.5 | 4.7 | 13.6 |
| 5–6 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 34.3 | 1.9 | — | 18.5 | 5.9 | 4.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 5.8 | 2.2 | — | 2.0 | 23.1 | 15.8 |
| 2–4 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 17 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 38 | 6 |
| 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.9 | 4.5 | — | 24.6 | 7.9 | 5.4 | — | — | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.5 | — | 3.2 | 5.0 | 11.3 |
| 22–24 Jun 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.1 | 3.0 | — | 21.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 | — | 6.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 4.5 | 18.5 |
| 17–18 Jun 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.8 | 3.9 | — | 24.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.9 | 4.8 | — | 3.4 | 5.5 | 13.1 |
| 14–15 Jun 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / News1 | 28 | — | — | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | 35 | 11 |
| 11–13 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 5 | 42 | 7 |
| 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.7 | 2.3 | — | 23.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 5.3 | 17.4 |
| 3–4 Jun 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 2.8 | — | 25.9 | 6.5 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | — | 3.9 | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| 1–3 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 41.0 | 2.1 | — | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | — | 5.0 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 5.4 | — | 1.7 | 4.6 | 19.0 |
| 28–30 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Research View / PSPD | 38 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
| 25–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.6 | 2.5 | — | 22.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | — | 4.6 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | — | 1.5 | 5.1 | 16.8 |
| 20–21 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 36.8 | 2.4 | — | 24.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.4 | 5.2 | — | 6.5 | 4.3 | 12.3 |
| 11–13 May 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.6 | 2.6 | — | 25.1 | 3.9 | 4.2 | — | 4.6 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 4.1 | — | 1.4 | 6.1 | 13.5 |
| 7–9 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 17 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 38 | 7 |
| 6–7 May 2024 | 1,003 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.3 | 3.5 | — | 26.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | — | — | 2.1 | 7.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.1 | 5.9 | 11.3 |
| 27–29 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.3 | 3.7 | — | 21.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 | — | 5.0 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 5.7 | — | 1.8 | 4.2 | 17.4 |
| 16–18 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 24 | — | — | 15 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 5 | 39 | 9 |
| 13–15 Apr 2024 | 2,013 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.8 | — | — | 23.9 | — | — | — | — | 4.4 | 10.1 | 5.7 | — | 11.1 | 7.1 | 13.9 |
| 2–3 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 1 | — | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 4 |
| 28–29 Mar 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo | 31.5 | 4.3 | — | 21.8 | 5.9 | 6.7 | — | 4.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | — | 3.9 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| 28–29 Mar 2024 | 1,011 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily | 27 | — | — | 20 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 7 |
| 26–27 Mar 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 32 | 2 | — | 24 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 |
| 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | — | 24 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
| 20 Feb 2024 | 1,012 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 35.8 | 3.6 | — | 35.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | 3.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| 13–14 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37 | 5 | — | 34 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6–7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 26 | 4 | — | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 3 |
| 30 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 26 | 1 | — | 23 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 3 |
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | — | 22 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| 1–2 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 39 | 4 | — | 35 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 29–30 Dec 2023 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 3 | — | 22 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 5 |
| 28–29 Dec 2023 | 1,017 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo | 22 | 1 | — | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2 |
| 26–27 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Research / HankookIlbo | 23 | 3 | — | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 2 |
| 25–26 Dec 2023 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 4.7 | — | 27.2 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.9 | 2.3 | — | — | 4.8 | 1.4 | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| 23–24 Dec 2023 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Asia Today | 36.9 | 2.5 | — | 35.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | — | 1.4 | — | — | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | — | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 3 |
| 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 21 | 2 | — | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 8 |
| 10–12 Oct 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 14 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 8 |
| 5–7 Sep 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | — | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 7 |
| 30 May–1 Jun 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 11 |
| 11–13 Mar 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | — | 16.4 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 4.1 | 5.7 | 9.0 | 20.9 |
| 29 Feb–2 Mar 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 20 | — | — | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 9 |
| 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo | 24.6 | — | — | 11.1 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 3.8 | — | 6.9 | — | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 37.7 | 13.5 |
| 1–2 Jan 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 33.7 | 1.5 | — | 18.1 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 5.4 | — | 3.8 | — | — | 6.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 15.6 |
| 26–27 Dec 2022 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Global Research / The Hankyoreh | 24.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 4.5 | — | 5.6 | — | 2.1 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| 16–17 Dec 2022 | 1,016 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 31.4 | 2.4 | — | 10.2 | 9.1 | — | — | 3.5 | 4.5 | — | — | 5.1 | 6.1 | 27.9 | 21.2 |
| 4–6 Dec 2022 | 1,030 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | — | 18.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 5.2 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 18.7 |
| 4–5 Dec 2022 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 37.8 | 2.3 | — | 18.9 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 4.4 | — | 3.1 | — | — | 5.8 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 18.9 |
| 3–5 Dec 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.0 | 3.3 | — | 19.1 | 9.8 | 8.2 | — | — | 3.9 | — | — | 6.9 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 17.9 |
| 29 Nov –1 Dec 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 13 |
| 5–7 Nov 2022 | 1,023 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.3 | 2.4 | — | 18.0 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 4.1 | — | 3.6 | — | — | 5.0 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 20.3 |
| 8–10 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 41.1 | 3.2 | — | 17.1 | 10.8 | 7.3 | — | — | 4.1 | — | — | 6.0 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 24.0 |
| 10–12 Sep 2022 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 40.1 | 2.9 | — | 18.5 | 11.7 | 8.0 | — | — | 4.3 | — | — | 4.5 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 21.6 |
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 27 | — | — | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 18 |
| 6–8 Aug 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 39.6 | 3.4 | — | 12.8 | 13.3 | 8.3 | — | — | 3.8 | — | — | 8.2 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 26.3 |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,045 | ±3.0 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.5 | 4.7 | — | 12.4 | 15.1 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.6 | — | — | 5.5 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 23.4 |
| 11–13 Jun 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 29.3 | 5.6 | — | 9.4 | 23.9 | — | — | 3.5 | 6.9 | — | — | 5.0 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| 7–9 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 15 | 4 | — | 4 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 5 |
| 29–31 Mar 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | ResearchView | 28 | 2 | — | — | 13 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 10 | — | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 Mar 2022 | 2022 election | 47.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | ||
Hypothetical polling
Lee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon
| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | Lee Jae-myung | Han Dong-hoon | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23–24 Aug 2024 | 1,010 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 45.6 | 28.0 | 2.9 | 23.6 | 17.6 |
| 19–20 Aug 2024 | 1,008 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 54.6 | 36.0 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 18.6 |
| 17–19 Aug 2024 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Hangil Research / Kukinews | 50.7 | 30.4 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 20.3 |
See also
Notes
- Kim Kyoung-soo was sentenced to prison in July 2021 and was ineligible to run for office until April 2028, but was pardoned and reinstated in August 2024, allowing him to run.
- Kim Moon-soo 8, Woo Won-shik 1, Others 5
- Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Research
- Woo Won-shik 3, Others 6
- Woo Won-shik 3.2, Kim Boo-kyum 1.7, Park Yong-jin 0.2, Others 9.0
- Woo Won-shik 4.0, Others 4.0
- Kim Boo-kyum 1.3, Others 4.3
- Woo Won-shik 4, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 4
- Woo Won-shik 5, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
- Woo Won-shik 5, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
- Woo Won-shik 4, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
- Kim Moon-soo 10.0, Woo Won-shik 3.9, Kim Boo-kyum 1.5, Na Kyung-won 1.0, Others 1.5
- Kim Moon-soo 5, Woo Won-shik 4, Choo Mi-ae 1, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Na Kyung-won 1, Others 1
- Woo Won-shik 4.8, Others 3.3
- Kim Moon-soo 5, Woo Won-shik 2, Han Duck-soo 2, Others 4
- Woo Won-shik 4, Others 6
- Woo Won-shik 6, Others 4
- Kim Moon-soo 2, Woo Won-shik 1, Others 5
- Kim Boo-kyum 1.1, Others 2.1
- Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 6
- Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 5
- Rhee Chang-yong 0.6, Others 6.7
- Kim Moon-soo 4.3, Kim Boo-kyum 0.8
- Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 4
- Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
- Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 3
- Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
- Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
- Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
- Kim Boo-kyum 1
- Kim Boo-kyum 1
- Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- Kim Boo-kyum 1
- Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
- Kim Boo-kyum 1
- Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
- Sim Sang-jung 1.4
- Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
- Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
- Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
- Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
- Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
- Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
- Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
- Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2
References
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- Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-06). "How South Korea's impeachment process works after Yoon Suk Yeol's martial law bid". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-12-14.
- Republic of Korea: Election for President IFES
- Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-04). "South Korea's president, Yoon Suk Yeol, facing impeachment after martial law shock". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-12-07.
- Min-hee, Jung (2024-12-08). "President Yoon to Resign in Predictable and Transparent Manner, Says PPP Leader". Businesskorea (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-07.
- "South Korea's ruling party discusses Yoon's resignation in Feb before snap election". Reuters. 2024-12-10. Retrieved 2024-12-10.
- "IFES Election Guide | Elections: South Korea President 2017". www.electionguide.org. 2017. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
- Kwon, Hye-jin (2024-04-11). ""경쟁자가 없다"…이재명, 총선 민의 힘입어 대권 가도 '탄력'". Kukinews (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Choi, Dae-ho (2024-06-22). "김동연 여의도 스킨십에 친문까지 품어…대권행보 '주목'". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Cho, Moon-hee (2024-12-04). "탄핵 열차 출발했다…野 '잠룡' 김경수는 '즉시 귀국'". Sisajournal (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-12.
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- Hong, Min-seong (2023-09-13). "홍준표 "내가 특이해 보이는 이유? 한국 정치판이 비정상이라"". hankyung.com (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Han, Sang-hee (2024-05-07). "유승민 "남은 도전 27년 대선 딱 하나…당대표 출마 깊이 고민"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Bae, Jae-sung (2024-04-29). "차기 대통령은 누구죠? 질문에…안철수 "접니다!" 손 번쩍". The JoongAng (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Kim, Hyung-jun (2024-04-11). "동탄서 살아난 이준석, '분열의 아이콘' 극복하고 차기 대선주자 위상 찾나". Hankookilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Park, Soon-bong (2024-01-12). "총선 출마 선그은 이낙연, 대선엔 "지금은…" 여지". Kyunghyang Shinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Lee, Jae-ho (2024-03-31). "조국혁신당 총선 돌풍 대선까지? 조국, 차기 대통령 여론조사 3위". Pressian (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- Park, Tae-hun (2024-12-13). "조국 "감옥 가면 턱걸이, 푸시업, 스쾃, 책 읽기…슬감생" 다 계획이 있다". News1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-22.
 Elections and referendums in South Korea | |
|---|---|
| Presidential elections | |
| Legislative elections | |
| Local elections | |
| By-elections | |
| Referendums | |