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Statewide opinion polling for the February 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008

This article is a collection of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the February Democratic presidential primaries, 2008.

Polling

Super Tuesday

See: Statewide opinion polling for the Super Tuesday Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.

District of Columbia

Washington, D.C.District of Columbia winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: District of Columbia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 12, 2008 Obama 75%, Clinton 24%
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 1,194
Margin of Error: ± 2.82%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 63%, Clinton 27%, Undecided 10%

Hawaii

HawaiiHawaii winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Hawaii Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 19 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 20
Delegates Won Barack Obama 20, Clinton 6

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 19, 2008 Obama 76%, Clinton 24%
Touch Tone Polls (Both districts combined)

Sample Size: 775
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 18, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 24%, Undecided 17%
Touch Tone Polls

Sample Size: 676
Margin of Error: ± 3.7%

February 1, 2008 Obama 48.9%, Undecided 27.1%, Clinton 23.9%

Maine

MaineMaine winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Maine Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 10 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 24
Delegates Won To be determined
See also

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 10, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 40%
Critical Insights April 20–27 April 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 22%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 3%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 18%
American Research Group 2–6 February 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 17%, Edwards 14%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Vilsack 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, undecided 20%

Maryland

MarylandMaryland winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Maryland Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 70
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 12, 2008 Obama 60%, Clinton 37%
SurveyUSA

Sampling Size: 774
Margin of Error: ±3.6%

February 9–10, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 32%, other 1%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 5%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8–9, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 37%, someone else 2%, undecided 6%
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 6,486
Margin of Error: ± 1.75%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 38%, Undecided 11%
Mason-Dixon

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5.0%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 35%, other 2%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA

Sampling Size: 737
Margin of Error: ±3.7%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 33%, other 2%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 7%
Rasmussen Reports

Sampling Size: 925
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6, 2008 Obama 57%,Hillary Clinton 31%, undecided 23%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of Error: ±4.6%

January 6–9, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 12%, other 4%, undecided 12%
Washington Post October 18–27, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 29%, Edwards 8%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, other 3%, undecided 5%
OpinionWorks August 24–26, 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 18%, Edwards 10%, undecided 32%

Virginia

VirginiaVirginia winner Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 12, 2008
Delegates At Stake 83
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 12, 2008 Obama 64%, Clinton 35%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 596
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 9–10, 2008 Obama 60%, Clinton 38%, other 2%, undecided 1%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8–9, 2008 Obama 56%, Clinton 38%, someone else 2%, undecided 4%
Constituent Dynamics

Sampling Size: 6,596
Margin of Error: ± 1.48%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 51%, Clinton 34%, Undecided 15%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 588
Margin of Error: ± 4.1%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 39%, other 1%, undecided 1%
Mason-Dixon

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5,0%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 37%
Rasmussen Reports

Sampling Size: 719
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6–7, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 37%, undecided 23%
InsiderAdvantage

Sample Size: 501
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 7, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 37%, other 1%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA

Sample Size: 369
Margin of Error: ± 5.1%

Obama 59%, Clinton 37%, other 2%, undecided 3%
Washington Post October 4–8, 2007 Clinton 50%, Obama 25%, Edwards 11%
Elon University February 18–22, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 13%, Edwards 4%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 54%

Washington

Washington (state)Washington winner: Barack Obama
First Tier Precinct Caucuses: February 9, 2008
Delegates At Stake 78
Delegates Won 56

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 9, 2008 Obama 68%, Clinton 31%
Survey USA

Sample Size: 575
Margin of Error: ± 4.2%

February 2–3, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 40%, undecided 7%
(Obama had a 22-point lead over Clinton with those who will caucus.)
Strategic Vision October 5–7, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 22%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Survey USA April 26 – May 3, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 30%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 4%, Other 5%, undecided 3%
Strategic Vision 6 November 2006 Clinton 32%, Gore 23%, Edwards 10%, Feingold 7%, Obama 6%, Clark 3%, Kerry 2%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Bayh 1%, Rendell 1%, Vilsack 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

Wisconsin

WisconsinWisconsin winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 19, 2008
Delegates at stake 74
Delegates won To be determined
See also

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results February 19, 2008 Obama 58%, Clinton 41%, other 1%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 17–18, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 42%, other 1%, undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling

Sample Size: 822 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3.4%

February 16–17, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 40%, undecided 7%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 15–16, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 43%, other 1%, undecided 7%
Research 2000

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 13–14, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 42%, undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports

Sample Size: 855 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 13, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 43%, undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling

Sample Size: 642 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3.9%

February 11, 2008 Obama 50%, Clinton 39%
Strategic Vision

Sample Size: 800 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3%

February 8–10, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 41%, undecided 14%
American Research Group

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 6–7, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 41%, someone else 1%, undecided 8%
Strategic Vision December 7–9, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 29%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 6%, Biden 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision September 14–16, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 22%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision July 13–15, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 24%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 6%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision (R) May 4–6, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 25%, Edwards 17% Joe Biden 6%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute April 3–17, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 30%, Edwards, 18%, Richardson 2%, other 7%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision (R) 28 February 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 21%, Edwards 17%, Clark 5%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision (R) 6 November 2006 Clinton 32%, Gore 28%, Edwards 12%, Obama 9%, Kerry 1%, Biden 1%, Clark 1%, Vilsack 1%, Bayh 1%, Rendell 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

References

  1. Actual results
  2. Constituent Dynamics
  3. Actual results
  4. Touch Tone Polls (Both districts combined)
  5. Touch Tone Polls
  6. Actual results
  7. Critical Insights
  8. American Research Group
  9. Actual results
  10. SurveyUSA
  11. American Research Group
  12. Constituent Dynamics
  13. Mason-Dixon
  14. SurveyUSA
  15. Rasmussen Reports
  16. Baltimore Sun
  17. Washington Post
  18. OpinionWorks
  19. Actual results
  20. SurveyUSA
  21. American Research Group
  22. Constituent Dynamics
  23. SurveyUSA
  24. Mason-Dixon
  25. Rasmussen Reports
  26. InsiderAdvantage
  27. SurveyUSA
  28. Washington Post
  29. Elon University
  30. Actual results
  31. Survey USA
  32. Strategic Vision
  33. Survey USA
  34. Strategic Vision
  35. Actual results
  36. American Research Group
  37. Public Policy Polling
  38. American Research Group
  39. Research 2000
  40. Rasmussen Reports
  41. Public Policy Polling
  42. Strategic Vision
  43. American Research Group
  44. Strategic Vision
  45. Strategic Vision
  46. Strategic Vision
  47. Strategic Vision (R)
  48. Wisconsin Policy Research Institute
  49. Strategic Vision (R)
  50. Strategic Vision (R)

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